Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 68.262048 77.084596 86.145317 96.113996 106.742200 117.704968 129.837820
2025-03-23 55.616670 68.313281 81.968697 97.616161 114.924957 133.370521 154.400049
2025-03-30 48.327803 63.243019 79.836148 99.396370 121.571479 145.702620 173.725381
2025-04-06 41.395242 57.598545 76.210029 98.721459 124.798831 153.687726 187.753937
2025-04-13 34.932469 51.751474 71.696159 96.423911 125.649960 158.556172 197.892242
2025-04-20 32.413921 50.394246 72.234473 99.804657 132.858524 170.496676 215.910821
2025-04-27 29.677565 48.463333 71.836314 101.862600 138.353153 180.345469 231.451493
2025-05-04 26.130240 45.140674 69.439284 101.256458 140.487688 186.136680 242.190688
2025-05-11 22.889700 41.927052 66.936879 100.308522 142.036028 191.102912 251.859581
2025-05-18 20.680070 39.939610 65.863439 101.020185 145.501112 198.264381 264.047835
2025-05-25 18.263726 37.429699 63.924328 100.482202 147.310087 203.360057 273.732528
2025-06-01 16.464698 35.668021 62.869411 100.984769 150.336645 209.868142 285.059920
2025-06-08 14.268697 33.112638 60.604934 99.832196 151.259767 213.846439 293.432109
2025-06-15 13.087808 32.066580 60.393024 101.363215 155.570349 221.965732 306.806200
2025-06-22 12.102334 31.243796 60.433539 103.184668 160.221421 230.488626 320.667660
2025-06-29 10.553653 29.289134 58.701250 102.494345 161.555258 234.858398 329.455068
2025-07-06 8.778173 26.702527 55.864008 100.144457 160.619384 236.321999 334.633135
2025-07-13 8.481144 26.844521 57.174179 103.602072 167.334454 247.389125 351.613808
2025-07-20 7.915876 26.404516 57.544402 105.706296 172.246662 256.189248 365.819466
2025-07-27 6.854096 24.837781 56.053691 105.086562 173.480780 260.309704 374.230721
2025-08-03 5.840439 23.216064 54.374360 104.117304 174.188495 263.721950 381.737666
2025-08-10 5.217727 22.355902 53.884054 104.844982 177.165495 270.018099 392.829954
2025-08-17 4.456004 21.047511 52.567786 104.294897 178.361771 274.004671 401.024810